If you’ve got plans in Stratford-upon-Avon this week, you’ll want to check the forecast twice. The Met Office is showing 7°C right now with a ≥95% rain probability in the next hour, while BBC describes the broader conditions as dry with hazy sunshine — a textbook split that makes planning a real headache. This guide pulls together hourly breakdowns, 14-day outlooks, and any active warnings so you know exactly what to pack before you head out.

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Next Hour: 7°C · Sunday High: 21°C · Monday High: 21°C · Tuesday High: 15°C · Current Conditions: Dry with hazy sunshine

Quick snapshot

1Current Weather
  • Temperature: 7°C (Met Office UK Government Weather Authority)
  • Feels like: 4°C (Met Office UK Government Weather Authority)
  • Wind: 13 km/h WSW, gusts to 25mph (Met Office UK Government Weather Authority)
2Hourly Forecast
  • Next hour: 7°C, light rain, ≥95% rain probability (Met Office UK Government Weather Authority)
  • Weatherbug shows 51°F (10.6°C) at 1 PM with 10% precipitation chance (Weatherbug Weather Visualization Platform)
  • Humidity: 93% (Ventusky Weather Visualization Platform)
310-Day Outlook
  • Sunday Apr 26: 10°C high, 3°C low, patchy rain (WorldWeatherOnline Weather Forecast Provider)
  • Monday Apr 27: Partly sunny, ~20°C (WorldWeatherOnline Weather Forecast Provider)
  • AccuWeather warns of showery weather late Saturday through Sunday evening (AccuWeather Global Weather Service)
4Warnings & Alerts
  • Met Office rain probability ≥95% next hour (Met Office UK Government Weather Authority)
  • Moderate pollen levels currently (Met Office UK Government Weather Authority)
  • No severe weather warnings explicitly identified across sources (Met Office UK Government Weather Authority)

Current conditions reveal a sharp contrast between imminent rain and the broader dry outlook for Stratford-upon-Avon.

Parameter Value Source
Location Warwickshire, UK —
Current Temperature 7°C Met Office (UK Government Weather Authority)
Feels Like 4°C Met Office
Wind Speed 13 km/h Ventusky (Weather Visualization Platform)
Humidity 93% Ventusky
Cloud Cover 80% Ventusky
Gusts 25mph WSW Met Office
Rain Probability (next hour) ≥95% Met Office
Elevation 43m Ventusky
Primary Sources Met Office, BBC Weather, WorldWeatherOnline —

Is there a weather warning for Stratford-upon-Avon?

Current warnings

The Met Office shows a ≥95% rain probability in the next hour, which translates to light rain arriving shortly (Met Office forecast for Stratford-upon-Avon). Wind gusts are reaching 25mph from the WSW direction, and the feels-like temperature sits at 4°C despite the 7°C actual reading — cold enough that exposed skin will notice the difference.

Storm Amy details

No explicit severe weather warnings were identified across major meteorological sources as of April 26, 2026. The content plan references a timeline point for “3-4 October 2025” with Storm Amy, but this date has passed. Current conditions focus on the immediate rain event rather than any named storm system.

Bottom line: Pack a light rain layer if you’re heading out in the next hour. The Met Office’s ≥95% rain probability is about as certain as forecasts get — but no formal warning flags are active beyond that.

What is the hourly weather forecast for Stratford upon Avon?

Next hour conditions

Right now, the Met Office has 7°C with light rain and gusts to 25mph WSW, feeling closer to 4°C on exposed skin (Met Office hourly data). Cloud cover is at 80% and humidity sits at 93%, which means this isn’t a quick drizzle — the air is saturated and ready to release moisture.

Hour-by-hour breakdown

Weatherbug’s hourly model shows 51°F (10.6°C) at 1 PM with only a 10% precipitation chance, then 53°F (11.7°C) at 2 PM under partly cloudy skies with 89% humidity (Weatherbug hourly forecast). Those figures suggest the rain event may clear by mid-afternoon, leaving a cooler but brighter window.

The catch

The Met Office and Weatherbug are reading the same hour differently — 7°C light rain versus 51°F partly cloudy. This isn’t unusual for boundary-layer meteorology, but it means you should check both before committing to outdoor plans.

What is the weather in Stratford tomorrow?

Tomorrow’s high and low

Sunday April 26 is shaping up cool and wet. WorldWeatherOnline forecasts a 10°C high and 3°C low with patchy rain throughout the day (WorldWeatherOnline 14-day forecast). AccuWeather broadly agrees on mostly cloudy conditions with a 68°F (20°C) high and 44°F (6°C) low — notably warmer than WorldWeatherOnline’s 10°C figure, highlighting how provider models diverge.

Precipitation chances

AccuWeather specifically warns of showery weather late Saturday night through Sunday evening (AccuWeather Stratford-upon-Avon forecast). If you’re planning an afternoon Shakespearean theatre visit or a riverside stroll, morning timing would be the safer window before rain redevelops.

Why this matters

The temperature gap between providers is 10°C — enough to swing your packing list from a light jacket to a full winter coat. Tourists arriving from warmer climates should verify the forecast the morning of their visit, not the day before.

What is the 14 day weather forecast for Stratford upon Avon?

Weekly outlook

TheWeatherNetwork’s 14-day outlook shows temperature variability between 8°C lows and 19°C highs across the period (TheWeatherNetwork 14-day forecast). Wednesday May 7 carries a 30% probability of precipitation with a 15°C high and 6°C low, while Thursday May 8 drops to a 40% chance but under 1mm total rainfall — a drier but cooler finish to the week.

Extended trends

Ventusky’s model pushes Friday highs to 21°C, while WorldWeatherOnline shows 10°C for April 26 — a 10-degree discrepancy that underscores how extended forecasts lose precision (Ventusky multi-day forecast). WorldWeatherOnline also identifies Tuesday April 21 as the windiest day at 35 km/h, making outdoor sightseeing less comfortable that day.

The pattern across providers reveals significant divergence in extended forecasts, with temperature differences of up to 10°C between models on the same dates.

Date High Low Conditions Source
Fri Apr 17 15°C — Patchy rain WorldWeatherOnline
Sun Apr 26 10°C 3°C Patchy rain WorldWeatherOnline
Mon Apr 27 ~20°C ~6°C Mostly cloudy AccuWeather
Wed May 7 15°C 6°C 30% POP TheWeatherNetwork
Thu May 8 — — 40% POP, <1mm TheWeatherNetwork
Tue Apr 21 — — Windiest: 35 km/h WorldWeatherOnline
Bottom line: The 14-day window shows no sustained cold snaps or heatwaves — temperatures hover between 3°C and 21°C, with rain concentrated around April 26-27. Wind on April 21 is the main planning concern for outdoor sightseeing.

What is the weather in Stratford upon Avon in February?

Average February conditions

While this article focuses on current and near-term forecasts, February in Stratford-upon-Avon typically brings average highs around 7°C and lows near 2°C, with elevated precipitation frequency compared to summer months. WorldWeatherOnline’s historical data for April shows minimum temperatures of 0°C on April 25, which gives a rough proxy for what February nights can feel like (WorldWeatherOnline historical data).

Historical trends

The altitude of 43m (per Ventusky) means cold air drainage from surrounding Warwickshire hills can produce overnight frosts in winter months that don’t always show up in daytime highs. WorldWeatherOnline’s sunrise at 05:47 AM and sunset at 08:24 PM for late April suggests February brings roughly 9 hours of daylight — short days that limit outdoor touring windows.

The trade-off

February visitors face a trade-off: fewer crowds at Shakespeare’s Birthplace and Holy Trinity Church, but shorter days and colder temperatures mean indoor attractions become more valuable. A December-January visit offers the same quiet conditions with potential Christmas market access.

Timeline signal

Key forecast milestones across the next fortnight show when to prioritize indoor versus outdoor activities.

Period Event Source
Next hour 7°C, light rain, gusts 25mph, ≥95% rain probability Met Office
Sunday Apr 26 10°C high, 3°C low, patchy rain WorldWeatherOnline
Monday Apr 27 ~20°C, mostly cloudy AccuWeather
Tuesday Apr 21 (historical reference) Windiest: 35 km/h WorldWeatherOnline
Wed May 7 30% POP, 15°C/6°C TheWeatherNetwork

What’s confirmed and what’s unclear

Confirmed facts

  • Met Office weather warnings for Stratford-upon-Avon (Warwickshire) with ≥95% rain probability in next hour
  • BBC current conditions: dry with hazy sunshine (broader view)
  • Current temperature 7°C, feels like 4°C, gusts 25mph WSW
  • Stratford-upon-Avon elevation: 43m
  • Wind speed: 13 km/h; humidity: 93%; cloud cover: 80%

What’s unclear

  • 30-day forecast accuracy — model variance across providers makes extended outlooks unreliable
  • Exact Storm Amy path impacts — timeline reference date (Oct 3-4, 2025) has passed without verified current storm data
  • Precise hourly breakdown beyond the Met Office next-hour snapshot and Weatherbug’s 1-2 PM window

What forecasters are saying

“Light rain ≥95%”

— Met Office (UK National Weather Service)

“Expect showery weather late Saturday night through Sunday evening.”

— AccuWeather (Global Weather Service)

“Min temperature will be 0°C / 32°F on Sat 25.”

— WorldWeatherOnline (Weather Forecast Provider)

What this means for your visit

Stratford-upon-Avon’s weather this week is a study in contrasts: the Met Office has a near-certain rain event hitting in the next hour, while BBC’s broader view frames conditions as dry with hazy sunshine. For tourists, the practical implication is straightforward — check the Met Office forecast within two hours of any outdoor plans, carry a rain layer regardless of the morning sunshine, and expect temperatures between 3°C and 21°C across the next fortnight. The town sits at 43m elevation in Warwickshire, and while there’s no active severe weather warning, Tuesday’s wind spike and Sunday’s rain are the two days that could disrupt a theatre visit or riverside walk. Book morning slots for Shakespeare’s Birthplace and Holy Trinity Church, and keep the afternoon flexible for indoor options at the Royal Shakespeare Company if conditions turn.

Frequently asked questions

What is BBC weather for Stratford-upon-Avon?

BBC Weather describes current conditions as dry with hazy sunshine for the broader Stratford-upon-Avon area. For specific hourly breakdowns, the BBC site directs to Met Office data, which shows 7°C, light rain, and a ≥95% rain probability in the immediate next-hour window. Access the full BBC Stratford-upon-Avon forecast directly.

What is the 30 day weather forecast for Stratford-upon-Avon?

Extended 30-day forecasts carry inherent model variance — The Weather Outlook offers 16-day views, but temperature discrepancies of up to 10°C between providers (Ventusky vs. WorldWeatherOnline) show that predictions beyond 10 days are probabilistic rather than deterministic. For planning purposes, the 10-14 day window is the practical limit for reliable outdoor activity scheduling.

What is the 10 day weather forecast for Stratford-upon-Avon?

The 10-day outlook shows Sunday April 26 at 10°C with patchy rain, warming to ~20°C by Monday April 27 under mostly cloudy skies. TheWeatherNetwork’s 14-day model extends through May 8 with temperature ranges between 6°C and 19°C, and precipitation probabilities between 30-40% mid-week. No sustained cold snaps or heat events are forecast.

Where is Storm Amy going to hit?

The content plan references Storm Amy for October 3-4, 2025, but that date has passed. No active named storm warnings are flagged in current Met Office, AccuWeather, or WorldWeatherOnline data for Stratford-upon-Avon. If Storm Amy or a subsequent named storm develops, the Met Office severe weather warnings page will carry the most current information.

Is Stratford-upon-Avon weather affected by London?

Stratford-upon-Avon sits roughly 100 miles northwest of London, too far for direct weather influence. Both locations share the same broader UK pressure systems and can see similar frontal weather patterns, but Stratford’s elevation (43m) and Warwickshire positioning create distinct local conditions — notably the 93% humidity and 80% cloud cover currently observed, which may differ from London’s urban heat island readings.

What are average temperatures in Stratford-upon-Avon?

Based on current verified data, April temperatures range from 3°C overnight lows (WorldWeatherOnline, April 26 low) to 21°C daytime highs (Ventusky Friday model). WorldWeatherOnline’s April 25 minimum of 0°C gives a rough proxy for winter overnight lows. Summer months typically see 18-22°C highs; winter averages 4-8°C highs with frost risk.

How does weather impact Stratford-upon-Avon visits?

The town’s outdoor attractions — the Swan Theatre riverbank, Anne Hathaway’s Cottage gardens, and the Holy Trinity Church yard where Shakespeare is buried — all depend on weather windows. Current conditions show a practical tension: the Met Office rain probability is ≥95% in the next hour, but BBC frames the broader day as dry with hazy sunshine. For visitors, this means hourly verification is essential, and indoor alternatives like the Shakespeare Birthplace Trust museum become critical backup plans when rain arrives.

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